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In the absence of a good fortune-telling app, one guess is as good as another, so I thought I would look at long cycles (social cycle theory), as described by George Modelski (<\/span>Harkavy, 1999), but using education rather than economics and studying how education technology might be related to Kondratiev waves in technology life cycles (Ayres, 1988). Sp<\/span>ecifically, I want to discuss China\u2019s possible hegemonic accession as a potential defining trait of the 21<\/span>st<\/sup> century (BBC, 2020)<\/span>. I also want to understand how an education-based trade and information war, rather than traditional war could lift Africa out of the prison of poverty using Chinese support (Fredua-Kwarteng, 2020). Given that some theories suggest that our next technological revolution with be in information (Hilbert, 2020), countries that invest heavily in education and technology should be able to influence world power.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n In 2030:<\/p>\n Social chaos reigned in the democratic west from 2020-2026, with battling factions of pro- and anti- vaccine groups arguing, mostly online for the first couple of years. Their arguments finally spilled over into street riots in many countries in 2026 that many governments put down by force. In the meantime, China doggedly continued its technological expansion by the creation of more affordable technology that was distributed, along with much-needed vaccines, across Africa. Sino-African relations, most importantly the inclusion of African students in Chinese universities, grew exponentially. The Chinese economy, once estimated to surpass that of the USA by 2028 (BBC, 2020), overtook it in 2025 due to the negative debt ratings incurred by western countries after massive COVID relief spending decimated their budgets. This left little money in western university coffers for higher education R&D for technology improvements.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n References:<\/p>\n Ayres, R. U. (1988). Barriers and breakthroughs: An \u201cexpanding frontiers\u201d model of the technology-industry life cycle. Technovation<\/em>, 7<\/em>(2), 87\u2013115. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/0166-4972(88)90041-7<\/a><\/p>\n Chinese economy to overtake US \u201cby 2028\u201d due to Covid. (2020, December 26). BBC News<\/em>. https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-asia-china-55454146<\/a><\/p>\n Fredua-Kwarteng, <\/em>E. (2020). What is China\u2019s higher education agenda in Africa?<\/em> (n.d.). University World News. Retrieved October 13, 2021, from https:\/\/www.universityworldnews.com\/post.php?story=20201120110117700<\/a><\/p>\n Harkavy, R. E. (1999). Long cycle theory and the hegemonic powers\u2019 basing networks. Political Geography<\/em>, 18<\/em>(8), 941\u2013972. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/S0962-6298(99)00033-5<\/a><\/p>\n Hilbert, M. (2020). Digital technology and social change: The digital transformation of society from a historical perspective. Dialogues in Clinical Neuroscience<\/em>, 22<\/em>(2).<\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" In the absence of a good fortune-telling app, one guess is as good as another, so I thought I would look at long cycles (social cycle theory), as described by George Modelski (Harkavy, 1999), but using education rather than economics and studying how education technology might be related to Kondratiev waves in technology life … <\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/malat-webspace.royalroads.ca\/rru0208\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/202\/2021\/10\/Tech-300x168.jpg\")
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